Macroeconometric models and forecasting

Macroeconometric modelling in Germany
Freie Universitaet Berlin, 07/02/1998; Centre for European Economic Research Mannheim, 12/14/1998; University of Kassel, 2/11/1999; University of Lueneburg, 01/12/2000

A macroeconometric model for the Euro area
University of Passau, 03/21/2002; Western Economic Association, Seattle, USA, 07/05/ 2002; Middle East Technical University (METU), Ankara, 09/13/2002, Freie Universitaet Berlin, 11/15/2006

The out-of sample performance of leading indicators for the German business cycle
International Symposium of Forecasting, Merida, 06/16/2003, Southern Economic Association, San Antonio, 11/21/2003

Estimating large-scale factor models for economic activity in Germany
Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft, Potsdam, 08/23/2003, Verein für Socialpolitik, University of Zurich, 09/30/2003

Economic forecasts for the euro area
European School of Management, Berlin, 9/15/2006

Econometric models to study the macroeconomic effects of structural reforms
Turkish Treasury, Ankara, 10/26/2007

Forecasting private consumption by consumer surveys
EU-OECD Workshop, Bruxelles, 11/17/11, IWH-CIREQ Workshop, Halle, 12/13/11

An early warning system to predict house price bubbles
Excessive imbalances procedure, DG ECFIN, Bruxelles, 12/8/11

Schätzung makrooekonomischer Produktionsfunktionen
Humboldt University of Berlin, 05/31/1999; Institute for Economic Research Halle, 11/11/1999

The empirical performance of the Cobb-Douglas production function. Empirical evidence for the Unified Germany
Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft, Nürnberg, 09/27/2000 ; Joanneum Research, Vienna, 05/14/2001

The effects of a reduction in working hours on employment and unemployment
Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft, Hannover, 10/6/1999, Missouri Valley Economic Association, St. Louis, 02/26/2000

The impact of institutions on the employment performance in European labour markets
Centre for European Integration Studies, Bonn, 09/04/2004, Institute for Economic Research Halle, 11/15/2004, Western Economic Association, San Diego, 07/02/2006

Panel seasonal unit root tests with an application to unemployment data
EC2 conference, Marseille 12/18/2004

Measuring the regional dimension of human capital
European Regional Economic Forum, Nova Gorica, Slovenia, 6/8/2009, European Regional Science Association, Jonkoping, 8/21/2010, Vienna Institute of Demography, 4/8/2011

Effects of the financial crisis on potential output and structural deficits
OECD, Paris, 6/25/2010, Chinese Association of Quantitative Economics, Xiamen, 10/16/2010

Euro area policy options to solve the debt crisis
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), Beijing, 10/26/11, CASE Warzaw, 11/19/11, Moscow, G20 Think Tank Meeting, 12/13/12

Die Entwicklung der Unternehmensinvestitionen in Deutschland
Verein für Socialpolitik, University of Mainz, 10/01/1999

Consumption and income in the euro area
EC2 conference, London, 12/13/2003, Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft, Vienna, 05/21/2004, Verein für Socialpolitik, University of Dresden, 09/28/2004; Southern Economic Association, New Orleans, 11/22/2004

The role of asset prices for private consumption. Evidence from paneleconometric models
Verein für Socialpolitik, University of Magdeburg, 9/10/2009, Southern Economic Association, San Antonio, 11/22/2009, Spanish Economic Association, Valencia, 11/12/2009, Western Economic Association, San Francisco, 7/2/2012

Thresholds for employment and unemployment. A spatial analysis of German regional labour markets
European Regional Science Association, Amsterdam, 8/25/2005, Conference on Spatial Econometrics, University of Rome, 5/25/2006

On the stability of the German Beveridge curve. A spatial econometric perspective
European Regional Science Association, Volos, 8/31/2006, Aachen University of Technology, 12/19/2006, Nordic Econometric Meeting, Tartu, 5/25/2007

European regional convergence in a human capital augmented Solow model
European Regional Science Association, Paris, 8/30/07, Southern Economic Association, New Orleans, 11/19/2007, Free University of Berlin, 1/9/2009, Spatial Economic Association, Barcelona 7/9/2009, University of Havanna 9/25/2009

What drives regional business cycles? The role of common and spatial components
Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft, Vienna, 5/14/2010, European Regional Science Association, Jonkoping, 8/21/2010 

Income convergence and rent seeking in Iran
Tehran University, 11/3/2007

Is there a Chinese real estate bubble? Regional evidence and implications
International Economic Association, Beijing, 7/7/11, European Regional Science Association, Barcelona, 8/31/11, Shanghai Administration Institute, Shanghai, 10/22/11

A further examination of the export-led growth hypothesis, University of Havanna, 9/25/11, Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, 4/13/12

The Chinese impact on output growth and inflation in the industrial countries
American Economic Association, Chicago 1/6/2012, University of Havanna, 9/28/12, Southwestern University, Chengdu, 10/16/12, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, 11/23/12, Austrian National Bank, 2/22/13

Umfinanzierung versicherungsfremder Leistungen in der gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung
University of Bremen, 01/21/1997

Das System der Altersvorsorge im Zeitalter der Globalisierung
Wissenschaftsgemeinschaft Blaue Liste, Cologne, 10/29/1997

Beschäftigungseffekte alternativer Finanzierungsformen der Sozialen Sicherung
University of Halle-Wittenberg, 11/14/1997

Health care expenditures in OECD countries: A panel unit root and cointegration analysis
Western Economic Association, San Francisco, 7/5/2005

Are real interest rates cointegrated? Empirical evidence for the G7 countries
Economic Society of Australia, Gold Coast, 07/03/2000; International Atlantic Economic Conference, Athens, 03/17/2001; University of Kassel, 06/12/2002; University of Bonn, 05/23/2003

Is money demand stable in Europe?
Link Conference, Rhine-Westfalia Institute for Economic Research, Essen, 11/18/2000

Long run money demand in the new EU member states with exchange rate effects
Conference of the Central Banks of the Balkan countries, Varna, 5/17/2005; European Economics and Finance Society, Coimbra, 5/21/2005; WHU Koblenz, 6/23/2005, EDGE Conference, Aix-en-Provence, 12/10/2005

Investigating M3 money demand in the euro area
University of Wuerzburg, 5/16//2006, Southern Economic Association, Charleston, 11/19/2006, University of Hamburg 1/16/2007, Center for European Studies, WHU Koblenz, 5/31/2007

M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area
Spanish Economic Association, Granada, 12/14/2007, Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft, Vienna, 5/23/08, Economic Society of Australia, Gold Coast, 10/2/2008, Cardiff University, 02/18/2009, Western Economic Association, Vancouver, 7/2/2009

Liquidity and asset prices. How strong are the linkages?
Verein fuer Socialpolitik, University of Kiel, 9/8/2010

Money and inflation in the euro area during the financial crisis
IWH-CIREQ Workshop, Halle, 12/9/2010, Southwestern Society of Economists, Houston, 3/10/2011, Atiner Congress, Athens, 7/25/2011  

Money demand and the role of monetary indicators in forecasting euro area inflation
Southern Economic Association, New Orleans, 11/18/12, Ghent University, 6/1/2012, Austrian National Bank, 2/22/13, Western Economic Association Pacific Rim, Tokyo, 3/15/13

What drives heterogeneity in foreign exchange rate expectations? Insights from a new survey
European Economic Association, Budapest, 8/29/2007

Does the nominal exchange rate regime affect the RIP condition?
International Economic Association, Istanbul, 6/25/2008, Vienna University of Economics and Business, 12/10/2010

Drivers of exchange rates in selected CIS countries. Evidence from a FAVAR analysis
Astana Economic Forum: Economic Security in Eurasia in the System of Global Risks, Astana, 3/12/2009, Viessmann European Research Center, Allendorf, 10/14/2009, Society for the Study of Emerging Markets, Milas, 7/16/2010

Current account imbalances in the euro area. Does catching up explain the development?
Verein für Socialpolitik, University of Frankfurt, 09/05/11, Mendel University, Brünn, 11/24/11, American Economic Association, San Diego, 1/5/13

Back to selection